Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Peterborough United		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.75
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.57	4.05	6
	1.57	3.95	5.2
	1.59	4.16	5.95
	1.53	3.9	5.8
	1.61	4.4	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	4.11 ↑ (4.02)	5.69 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
60.3%

Draw
23%

Gillingham
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	6.5%	19.4%

Peterborough United - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Gillingham will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Peterborough has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a chance of win league (32%).

Gillingham has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Peterborough in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gillingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gillingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peterborough is a favorite.

Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 15 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
16.04.21	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
10.04.21	Swindon Town - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
05.04.21	Peterborough United - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
02.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
27.03.21	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWW
- Gillingham FC
English League One
17.04.21	Oxford United - Gillingham	3:2 ✺
10.04.21	Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
05.04.21	Blackpool - Gillingham	4:1 ✺
31.03.21	Gillingham - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Hull City - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.02.21	Gillingham - Peterborough United	1:3
11.01.20	Peterborough United - Gillingham	0:0
19.10.19	Gillingham - Peterborough United	1:2
06.04.19	Peterborough United - Gillingham	2:0
22.09.18	Gillingham - Peterborough United	2:4
10.02.18	Gillingham - Peterborough United	1:1
14.10.17	Peterborough United - Gillingham	0:1

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