Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 2h 32m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	Sky Sport Max
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	RB Leipzig		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	5.25	6.00
	1.39	5.3	6.5
	1.45	5.6	6.65
	1.45	5	6.3	Watch
	1.39	5.35	6.5
	1.48	5.55	6.27	Watch
	1.4	5.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	5.33 ↓ (6)	6.37 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
67%

Draw
17.9%

Elversberg
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

15.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

14.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

RB Leipzig - Elversberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Elversberg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

RB Leipzig holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury).

Confirmed absences for Elversberg: Seifert L. (Ankle Injury) Zimmerschied T. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Elversberg: Darvich N. (Injury) Onyeka F. (Foot Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RB Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12:11	1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16:11	5	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.11% Elversberg: 0.25%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Real Madrid - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	RB Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Elversberg - Augsburg	4:3 ✺
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.14	RB Leipzig - Elversberg	2:0
07.09.13	Elversberg - RB Leipzig	1:0

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