The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 35.1%
Draw 29.4%
Bournemouth 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
29.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
20.7%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
28%
32%
Stoke City - Bournemouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 20.8% – 59.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Stoke has the most likely position - 4 (9.27%), has project points - 73, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 1 (31.68%), has project points - 87, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a chance of win league (32%).
Stoke is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bournemouth in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
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