Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Roma		Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.8	2.3
	2.9	3.8	2.25
	2.95	3.9	2.32
	2.75	3.65	2.29
	2.84	3.81	2.42
	2.88	3.6	2.3
	2.92	3.98	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.79)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
33.5%

Draw
25.3%

Ajax
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

18.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	21.2%	49.6%

Roma - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 113 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 33 - 29.2%). Ajax will win (votes: 56 - 49.6%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 40.4% – 58.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Roma was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (65%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Ajax was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (35%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Roma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
11.04.21	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Ajax - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.04.21	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Roma - Napoli	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
11.04.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Ajax - Roma	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.21	Heerenveen - Ajax	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Young Boys - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Ajax - Roma	1:2

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