Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Roma		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75
	2	3.4	3.7
	2.14	3.4	3.5
	2.04	3.35	3.7
	2.06	3.46	3.93
	2.13	3.56	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
46.5%

Draw
28%

Leicester City
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.6%	10.8%

Roma - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 62 - 66.7%). Leicester will win (votes: 10 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 57.1% – 76.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Roma was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a good chance of final (62%), has a chance of win league (31%).

Leicester was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a chance of final (38%), has a chance of win league (17%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Roma is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leicester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Roma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
01.05.22	Roma - Bologna	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.04.22	Leicester City - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.04.22	Inter Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Napoli - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.04.22	Roma - Bodø Glimt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLTW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
01.05.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.04.22	Leicester City - Roma	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
23.04.22	Leicester City - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Everton - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
28.04.22	Leicester City - Roma	1:1

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