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Current Win Probability
Roma 23.7%
Draw 23.2%
Manchester United 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
24%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
19%
63.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.1%
13.3%
64.6%
Roma - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
113 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 25 - 22.1%). Man Utd will win (votes: 73 - 64.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 55.8% – 73.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 2-6.
Roma was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Man Utd was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a very good chance of final (>99%), has a good chance of win league (62%).
Roma has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Man Utd in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Man Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Roma have a series of guest games.
In this match Man Utd is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.
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