Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.55	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.99	3.2	2.16
	3.78	3.24	2.04	Watch
	3.7	2.9	2.05
	3.75	3.1	2.09	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.59)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.08 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25%

Draw
30.2%

Monza
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

30.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	35%	50%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Monza will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Monza (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Monza (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 89. Crnigoj D. 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 24. Davi S. 99. Verdi S. 9. Pecorino E.	20. Thiam D. (G) 24. Bakoune A. 44. Carboni A. 3. Lucchesi L. 15. Delli Carri F. 32. Pessina M. (C) 21. Colombo L. 7. Azzi P. 28. Colpani A. 10. Cutrone P. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
3. Bordon F. 1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 22. Cragno A. (G) 23. Davi F. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 13. Sabatini C. 21. Tait F. 11. Tonin R.	25. Alvarez A. 17. Balde K. 19. Birindelli S. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 11. Forson O. 8. Hernani 14. Obiang P. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Castori F.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Colombo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
46', Colombo L. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
46', Colpani A. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
46', Davi S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
48', Tronchin S. 🟨,
64', Cutrone P. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
64', Verdi S. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
64', Tronchin S. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
71', Crnigoj D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
75', Lucchesi L. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
89', Casiraghi D. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 0.

Südtirol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Südtirol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Südtirol: Martini J. (Injury) Merkaj S. (Yellow Cards) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive) Petagna A. (Inactive) Ravanelli L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWWW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Padova - Monza	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Monza - Pescara	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Monza - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Virtus Entella - Monza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
15.05.19	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:3
Italian Serie C Group B
05.05.19	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:3
26.12.18	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.15	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
13.09.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	1:0

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