Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Monza

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.91	Watch
	4	3.3	1.93
	4.05	3.25	1.92	Watch
	3.77	3.22	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.95
	3.95	3.18	2	Watch
	4.25	3.14	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.08)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
23.4%

Draw
29%

Monza
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.9%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

28.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Virtus Entella - Monza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Monza (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 3. Alborghetti M. 15. Marconi I. 94. Mezzoni F. 4. Nichetti M. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 11. Guiu B. 19. Debenedetti A.	20. Thiam D. (G) 15. Delli Carri F. 13. Ravanelli L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 21. Colombo L. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 26. Ciurria P. 47. Mota D. 17. Balde K.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 7. Bariti D. 50. Benali A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 20. Fumagalli T. 42. Moretti L. 90. Portanova D. 21. Russo F. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 5. Squizzato N.	25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 50. Ballabio N. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 28. Colpani A. 8. Hernani 3. Lucchesi L. 9. Maric M. 52. Mout M. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Balde K. 🟨,
41', Colombo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Colombo L. ↓, Hernani ↑,
58', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
61', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
62', Ciurria P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
62', Balde K. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
68', Ravanelli L. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
77', Debenedetti A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
77', Karic N. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Franzoni A. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Di Mario S. ↓, Portanova D. ↑,
87', Guiu B. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
90', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
90+1', Alborghetti M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Virtus Entella is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monza is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive) Del Lungo T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Caprari G. (Inactive) Colpani A. (Inactive) Forson O. (Knee Injury) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Izzo A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Monza: Obiang P. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Venezia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Catanzaro - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
26.12.25	Modena - Monza	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Monza - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Venezia - Monza	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.04.21	Virtus Entella - Monza	1:1
15.12.20	Monza - Virtus Entella	5:0

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