Match Info

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	SD Aucas		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.2	3.5
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	2.05	3.05	3.45	Watch
	2.13	3.17	3.98
	1.97	3.3	3.93	Watch
	2.06	3.05	3.95
	2.08	3.25	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
45.4%

Draw
29.3%

Deportivo Macará
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piedra H. (C) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 4. Burdisso M. 28. Quinonez R. 6. Spina A. L. 10. Preciado E. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 14. Tapiero S. 29. Arroyo L.	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 15. Tello M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
7. Andrade J. M. 11. Bolanos R. 31. Carabali B. 1. Chaves I. (G) 20. Espinosa D. S. 9. Monti R. 2. Morales S. 30. Oyola B. 5. Serpa T. 57. Vera M. 17. Zambrano C.	13. Ayala M. 50. Caicedo C. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 22. Ferro L. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M. 19. Ramos P.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Posse F. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gustavino L. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
52', Jimenez J. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Campana A. I. ⚽, Posse F. (A),
57', Viera M. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
60', Arroyo L. ↓, Monti R. ↑,
60', Mena A. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
77', Tello M. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
77', Campana A. I. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
84', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
84', Bolanos D. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
87', Estacio J. 🟨,
87', Estacio J. 🟨,
89', Burdisso M. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
90+2', Marrufo J. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Preciado E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.

In recent outings, Aucas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Macará is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aucas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aucas has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:32 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aucas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 13:19 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.09.26	Manta - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	SD Aucas - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.08.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWL
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Manta	4:3 ✺
30.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4
05.04.26	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	0:1
20.12.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	0:2
05.10.25	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	3:2
06.07.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4
09.03.25	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	1:1
20.10.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	3:1

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