Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Saint-Étienne		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.50	7.00	Watch
	1.35	5.00	8.00
	1.38	4.90	7.00	Watch
	1.38	5.22	8.19
	1.35	5.4	7.3	Watch
	1.37	4.90	8.10
	1.37	4.87	7.57	Watch
	1.36	5.00	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	4.97 ↑ (4.68)	7.5 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
68.7%

Draw
18.8%

Rodez
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Saint Étienne - Rodez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Saint-Étienne (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 13. Ferreira J. 23. Pedro K. 18. Nair S. 11. Old B. 6. Bernauer M. (C) 14. Csongvai A. 20. Boakye A. 10. Breum J. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.	1. Braat Q. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 17. Vangi D. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 10. Saka M. 6. Mendes J. 29. Cartillier A. 9. Nsingi N. 7. Nagera K.
Substitutes
32. Baallal A. 46. Dhaoui E. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 37. Kasia N. 40. Lavallee L. (G) 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 16. Svetlin T. 52. Teillol T.	30. Crombez E. (G) 27. Essimi M. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 22. Joly O. 21. Nsona K. 8. Pavlovic D. 20. Ponti R. 5. Sylla M. 11. Touho M.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ballo T. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
27', Vangi D. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
37', Mendes J. 🟨,
45+2', Saka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Boakye A. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
66', Csongvai A. 🟨,
68', Nsingi N. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
68', Luyambula S. ↓, Nsona K. ↑,
71', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
72', Breum J. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
77', Saka M. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
77', Nagera K. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
79', Boakye A. ↓, Dhaoui E. ↑,
80', Old B. ↓, Kasia N. ↑,
87', Cathro I. 🟨,
88', Larsonneur G. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Ligue 1 and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3.

Saint-Étienne has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rodez is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rodez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rodez has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Saint-Étienne holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Saint-Étienne: Eymard P. (Foot Injury) Jaber M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Rodez: Braat Q. (Calf Injury) Doumbia C. (Coach's decision) Sylla M. (Coach's decision) Tebily H. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Saint-Étienne: Traore L. (Inactive).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Saint-Étienne has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:9 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saint-Étienne against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	9	7	1	1	22:8	14	22
17	Rodez	9	2	1	6	14:21	-7	7

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 61.78% Rodez: 0.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Saint-Étienne - Sion	5:1
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWW
- Rodez AF
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rodez - Inter Escaldes	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Rodez - Nancy	3:4 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Rodez - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1
16.08.25	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	4:0
French Ligue 1
24.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:1
12.08.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1
29.04.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	1:1

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