The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 26.4%
Draw 25.3%
Hoffenheim 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
25.2%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
24.9%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.8%
13.1%
69.2%
Schalke 04 - Hoffenheim Predictions
Users Predictions:
107 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 19 - 17.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 74 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 13.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 60.5% – 77.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 7).
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (24.2%), has project points - 31, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 9 (8.61%), has project points - 47, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality63, importance41, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1.
Schalke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Schalke: Cisse I.
(Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Calf Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Knee Injury)
Bicakcic E.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Hubner B.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Schalke won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-12.