Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1


	Ajax		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.23	7	11
	1.26	7	10	Watch
	1.22	7.23	11.44
	1.23	6.99	10.85	Watch
	1.15	6.5	11
	1.23	6.7	11.5	Watch
	1.26	7	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.18)	6.8 ↑ (6.5)	10.72 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
77.2%

Draw
13.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

14.1%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Ajax - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 6. Henderson J. (C) 8. Taylor K. 20. Traore B. 9. Brobbey B. 7. Bergwijn S.	1. Stryjek M. (G) 16. Sacek M. 3. Stojinovic D. 72. Skrzypczak M. 44. Moutinho J. 21. Churlinov D. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 8. Nene 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
10. Akpom Ch. 11. Forbs C. 3. Gaaei A. 39. Godts M. 12. Gorter J. (G) 38. Hlynsson K. 36. Janse D. 31. Mokio J. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 29. Rasmussen C. 26. Rugani D. 21. van den Boomen B.	82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 17. Dieguez A. 4. Haliti J. 14. Kubicki J. 29. Listkowski M. 39. Nguiamba A. 19. Olszewski P. 66. Piekutowski M. (G) 80. Pietuszewski O. 71. Stypulkowski S. 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Farioli F.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
32', Henderson J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Bergwijn S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Imaz J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
59', Nene ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Taylor K. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
67', Henderson J. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
67', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
67', Churlinov D. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Brobbey B. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
74', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
74', Rensch D. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
81', Brobbey B. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
81', Taylor K. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
87', Moutinho J. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

Recent matches Ajax is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jagiellonia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.08.24	NAC Breda - Ajax	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:1 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.08.24	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Panathinaikos - Ajax	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.08.24	GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Jagiellonia Białystok	4:1 ✺
07.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ajax	1:4

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