Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Southampton		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	9	Watch
	1.3	6	8.75
	1.29	5.9	9.29	Watch
	1.3	6.23	9.5
	1.29	6.23	9.5
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.29	6.05	9.1	Watch
	1.3	6.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)	6.01 ↑ (4.92)	9.16 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
73.8%

Draw
15.8%

Plymouth Argyle
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

19.2%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	14.3%	11.4%

Southampton - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 24. Charles S. 16. Smallbone W. 22. Alcaraz C. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 23. Edozie S. 10. Adams C.	21. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 17. Gibson L. 22. Galloway B. 20. Randell A. 4. Houghton J. 18. Azaz F. 10. Whittaker M. 23. Waine B. 2. Mumba B.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 7. Aribo J. 17. Armstrong S. 33. Dibling T. 26. Fraser R. 6. Holgate M. 13. Lumley J. (G) 18. Mara S. 5. Stephens J.	15. Bundu M. 25. Burton C. (G) 7. Butcher M. 28. Cundle L. 9. Hardie R. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 14. Miller M. 6. Scarr D. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Martin R.	Dewsnip N.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

S`hampton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Plymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match S`hampton is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's S`hampton to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
26.12.23	Southampton - Swansea City	5:0 ✺
23.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	4:0 ✺
13.12.23	Coventry City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Watford - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
26.12.23	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Birmingham City	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	3:2 ✺
13.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Southampton	1:2

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