Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 37

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)


	Southampton		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.39	5	7.5
	1.39	4.92	7.82
	1.39	5.24	7.99
	1.4	5.24	7.99
	1.35	4.8	8
	1.38	5.2	7.5	Watch
	1.38	5.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	5.04 ↑ (4.5)	7.8 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
68.9%

Draw
18.9%

Sunderland
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

14.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Southampton - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 5. Stephens J. (C) 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 16. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 17. Armstrong S. 36. Brooks D. 10. Adams C. 9. Armstrong A.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 23. Seelt J. 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 24. Neil D. (C) 14. Mundle R. 31. Rigg C. 7. Bellingham J. 17. Ba A. 11. Burstow M.
Substitutes
7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 24. Charles S. 33. Dibling T. 23. Edozie S. 13. Lumley J. (G) 18. Mara S. 19. Rothwell J. 20. Sulemana K.	22. Aouchiche A. 30. Bishop N. (G) 39. Ekwah P. 50. Jones H. 49. Lavery T. 6. Pembele T. 15. Rusyn N. 9. Semedo L. 28. Styles C.
Coaches
Martin R.	Dodds M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 2.

Recent matches S`hampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sunderland has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton is absolute favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Fraser R. (Injury) Larios J. (Muscle Injury) Stewart R. (Muscle Injury) Walker-Peters K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Leg Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Clarke J. (Ankle Injury) Dack B. (Hamstring Injury) Embleton E. (Thigh Injury) Evans C. (Knee Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) O'Nien L. (Yellow Cards) Roberts P. (Muscle Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
02.03.24	Birmingham City - Southampton	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Liverpool - Southampton	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.02.24	Southampton - Millwall	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Southampton - Hull City	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	West Bromwich Albion - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
05.03.24	Sunderland - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Norwich City - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sunderland - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Birmingham City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Huddersfield Town - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.09.23	Sunderland - Southampton	5:0
English Premier League
11.02.17	Sunderland - Southampton	0:4
English League Cup
26.10.16	Southampton - Sunderland	1:0
English Premier League
27.08.16	Southampton - Sunderland	1:1
05.03.16	Southampton - Sunderland	1:1
07.11.15	Sunderland - Southampton	0:1
02.05.15	Sunderland - Southampton	2:1

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