Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 33

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Sparta Rotterdam		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.8	7.25
	1.35	5.1	8.5
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.42	5.19	7.29
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	5	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)	4.86 ↑ (4.85)	7.58 ↑ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
67.9%

Draw
19.6%

Cambuur
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

Sparta Rotterdam - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Cambuur will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sparta Rotterdam has the most likely position - 6 (84.41%), project points - 56, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.

Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (83.58%), project points - 18, currently - 16, already of relegated.

This event has quality 39, very small importance 0, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 2.

Recent matches Sparta Rotterdam is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambuur has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cambuur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sparta Rotterdam is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sparta Rotterdam won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.23	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	3:3 ✺
15.04.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LLTWW
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.23	Vitesse - Cambuur	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Cambuur - Utrecht	0:3 ✺
21.04.23	Volendam - Cambuur	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Cambuur - Feyenoord	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Twente - Cambuur	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.01.23	Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3
16.01.22	Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
26.09.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Cambuur	0:4
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.01.19	Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam	3:3
14.10.18	Sparta Rotterdam - Cambuur	3:0
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Sparta Rotterdam - Cambuur	0:2
21.07.17	Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1

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