Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Sparta Rotterdam		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.50	5.25	Watch
	1.60	4.33	5.00
	1.50	4.40	5.60
	1.62	4.65	5.15
	1.58	4.51	5	Watch
	1.58	4.50	5.05
	1.61	4.44	5.11	Watch
	1.56	4.30	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4.45 ↑ (4.43)	5.15 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
60.2%

Draw
21.3%

Willem II
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brouwer M. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 6. Verschuren N. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Kuipers B. 7. van Cruijsen R. 8. Toornstra J. 10. Hatenboer C. 11. Babadi I. 9. Zonneveld M.	26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 18. Zarrouk A. 52. Vilhena T. 7. Slory J. 19. van Aalst U. 32. van Crooij V. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
16. Baas J. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 22. Ideho J. 19. Kostic A. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 14. Quintero T. 12. Reith B. 18. Roaldsoy A. 21. Terho C. 17. van Bergen M. 15. Vianello G.	8. Boogaard K. 2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 50. Gurbuz E. 41. Kotte T. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 10. Schuurman J. 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T.
Coaches
Meijer R.	Stegeman J.

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation - Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4.

Sparta Rotterdam is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Willem II has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Sparta Rotterdam is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Injury) van Bergen M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Willem II: Culum A. (Foot Injury) Didillon Hodl T. (Hamstring Injury) Hoogma J. (Knee Injury) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Willem II: Boogaard K. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Rotterdam has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:24 (averaging 2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sparta Rotterdam against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7:23	-16	2

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.15% Willem II: 0.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Sparta Rotterdam	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTL
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
11.10.26	Utrecht - Willem II	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Ajax - Willem II	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Willem II - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	1:5
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II	4:0
31.08.24	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	2:4
29.07.23	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3
20.07.22	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2

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