The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 51.7%
Draw 26.3%
Legia Warsaw 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
26.4%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
17.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.2%
14.4%
11.3%
Spartak Moscow - Legia Warsaw Predictions
Users Predictions:
97 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 72 - 74.2%). Legia will win (votes: 11 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 65.5% – 82.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Spartak M has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a chance of 2nd (16%), has a chance of 3rd (40%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Legia has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (11%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).