Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Legia Warsaw		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5
	6.25	4.6	1.48
	6.7	4.7	1.48
	6.4	4.3	1.47
	6.92	4.48	1.51
	6.5	4.33	1.47
	6.95	4.75	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (5.01)	4.5 ↑ (3.96)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
14.5%

Draw
21.2%

Leicester City
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.8%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

14.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-29.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.9%	13.4%	76.7%

Legia Warsaw - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 172 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 17 - 9.9%). Leicester will win (votes: 132 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 13.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 70.4% – 83%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Legia has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (7%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a good chance of 3rd (51%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leicester has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (48%), has a chance of 3rd (18%), has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leicester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leicester is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.09.21	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
22.09.21	Wigry Suwałki - Legia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.21	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.21	Spartak Moscow - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
25.09.21	Leicester City - Burnley	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.21	Millwall - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
19.09.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Leicester City - Napoli	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.09.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLTL

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