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Current Win Probability
Leicester City 59.2%
Draw 24.1%
Burnley 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
21.4%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
12.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-21.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
11.4%
9.6%
Leicester City - Burnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leicester City will win
(90 of 114 users predict this - 78.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.47% – 86.43%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Leicester has the most likely position - 9 (8.63%), has project points - 52, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Burnley has the most likely position - 19 (13.68%), has project points - 37, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Leicester is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Leicester won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.
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