The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 56.2%
Draw 26.2%
Athletico Paranaense 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
27.5%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
20.7%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sport Recife - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores).
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B
Sport Recife has the most likely position - 19 (100%), has project points - 38, has currently - 37, was already of relegated.
Athletico PR has the most likely position - 14 (42.65%), has project points - 47, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of win league.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Sport Recife is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Watch
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