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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon 27.7%
Draw 26.8%
Ajax 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
27.4%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
19.6%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.7%
28.9%
48.4%
Sporting Lisbon - Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
128 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 29 - 22.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 62 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 37 - 28.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 39.7% – 57.1%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Sporting has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (14%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (41%), has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ajax has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (46%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a chance of qtrs (43%), has a chance of semis (22%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
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