Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Stoke City		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.33	Watch
	9.5	5.25	1.33
	9.55	5.4	1.34	Watch
	9	5.2	1.31
	9.66	5.32	1.35
	8.5	5	1.35	Watch
	10.5	5.6	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.39 ↑ (5.91)	5.32 ↑ (4.44)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
10.2%

Draw
18%

Tottenham Hotspur
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21.5%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

12.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tottenham Hotspur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-36.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	4.4%	85.3%

Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (58 of 68 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.87% – 93.71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tottenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tottenham is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
19.12.20	Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Derby County - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
08.12.20	Stoke City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTLW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
20.12.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.12.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.04.18	Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
09.12.17	Tottenham Hotspur - Stoke City	5:1
26.02.17	Tottenham Hotspur - Stoke City	4:0
10.09.16	Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4
18.04.16	Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4
15.08.15	Tottenham Hotspur - Stoke City	2:2
09.05.15	Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0

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