The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millwall 42.5%
Draw 30.3%
Sunderland 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
30.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
30.4%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millwall's performance.
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millwall that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.1%
35.3%
17.6%
Millwall - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Tanganga J. 15. Bryan J. 4. Hutchinson S. 25. Esse R. 23. Saville G. 21. Coburn J. 24. De Norre C. 19. Watmore D. 39. Honeyman G.
1. Patterson A. (G) 5. Ballard D. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 42. Alese A. 24. Connolly A. 40. Watson T. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 18. Isidor W. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
11. Azeez F. 9. Bradshaw T. 22. Emakhu A. 26. Ivanovic M. 17. Langstaff M. 2. McNamara D. 13. Roberts L. (G) 3. Wallace M. 14. Wintle R.
30. Aleksic M. 45. Anderson J. 22. Aouchiche A. 17. Ba A. 41. Johnson Z. 50. Jones H. 37. Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G) 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Coaches
Harris N.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Honeyman G. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
58', Connolly A. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
74', Watmore D. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
77', Aleksic M. 🟨,
77', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
86', Esse R. 🟨,
87', Mepham C. 🟨,
90', Hutchinson S. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
90', Saville G. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Azeez F. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1.
Millwall in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sunderland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Mitchell B.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S.
(Injury)
Abdullahi A.
(Groin Injury)
Alese A.
(Ankle Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Hume T.
(Yellow Cards)
Patterson A.
(Muscle Injury)
Poveda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Roberts P.
(Yellow Cards)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
Hungary
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Jensen L. (G) 
Leonard R. 
Saville G. 
De Norre C. 
Mepham C. 
Connolly A. 
Isidor W. 
Mayenda E. 
Ivanovic M. 
Wallace M. 
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