The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 57.9%
Draw 24%
Charlton Athletic 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
26.3%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
21.1%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-2%)
Sunderland - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (37.98%), has project points - 89, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a good chance of promoted (63%), has a chance of win league (38%).
Charlton has the most likely position - 22 (8.31%), has project points - 52, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Charlton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Charlton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sunderland have a series of guest games.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
Recent matches Charlton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.