The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 32.4%
Draw 29.5%
Leeds United 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.9%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27.8%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
45.5%
54.5%
Sunderland - Leeds United Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Sunderland (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.05) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Championship and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
Sunderland is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Leeds have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sunderland may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sunderland has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sunderland against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Leeds
7
2
4
1
9:6
3
10
20
Sunderland
7
1
1
5
6:14
-8
4
Outrights of English Premier League for now
Leeds: 0.35% Sunderland: 0.06%
Last Results with these Odds
Sunderland - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Leeds United - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.