The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 31.2%
Draw 25.8%
Chesterfield 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
26.3%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
25.8%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
14.3%
21.4%
Swindon Town - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 17. Tafazolli R. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 33. McGregor J. 7. Nichols T. 20. Middlemas B. 26. Batty J. 30. Hoilett J. 23. Drinan A. (C) 24. Holman F.
23. Boot R. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. (C) 26. Swinkels S. 19. Gordon L. 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 17. Dobra A. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
25. Borland A. 3. Mabete F. 29. Olakigbe M. 44. Oldaker D. 28. Palmer O. 19. Snowdon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 9. Grigg W. 1. Hemming Z. (G) 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Wilson-Brown T. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Bonis L. ⚽, Dobra A. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Middlemas B. ⚽, Drinan A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
46', Nichols T. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
46', McFadzean K. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
51', Hoilett J. 🟨,
58', Stirk R. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Markanday D. ⚽, Dobra A. (A),
71', Mandeville L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
71', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
71', Hoilett J. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
75', Middlemas B. 🟨,
76', Middlemas B. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
78', Bonis L. 🟨,
90+3', Dobra A. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
90+3', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
90+4', Braybrooke S. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chesterfield is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
United-kingdom
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Ripley C. (G) 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Drinan A. (C) 
Swinkels S. 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Dobra A. 
Bonis L. 
Mabete F. 
Donacien J. 
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