Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Telstar		Roda

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.6	4	Watch
	1.86	3.7	4.26
	1.84	3.52	4.19	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.82	3.63	4.13	Watch
	1.87	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.89)	4.05 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
50.6%

Draw
26.3%

Roda
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Telstar - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Roda will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 25. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 9. El Kachati Y. 14. Kaandorp M.	52. El Maach I. (G) 13. Roseler N. (C) 4. Koglin B. 15. Beerten L. 6. Spieringhs W. 22. Kruiver J. 18. Kother T. 17. Dzepar O. 14. Breij M. 97. Baeten T. 9. Cukur T.
Substitutes
24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 20. Houweling J. (G) 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 17. Rossen N. 8. Turfkruier J. 26. van Schooneveld J.	27. Bangura S. 26. El Meliani R. 11. Griffith I. 20. Leijten R. 7. Razak K. 10. Schwirten J. 77. Sejdiu P. 23. Steins J. (G) 72. Vancsa Z. 30. Van Hemelryck C. (G) 34. Veendorp K.
Coaches
Correia A.	Sibum B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Kaandorp M. (A),
42', Cukur T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Koswal D. ↓, Rossen N. ↑,
60', Cukur T. ↓, Razak K. ↑,
60', Roseler N. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
60', Spieringhs W. ↓, Sejdiu P. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
72', Noslin T. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
74', Kother T. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Kaandorp M. ⚽, El Kachati Y. (A),
81', Hetli S. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
82', Kruiver J. 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Breij M. ⚽, Bangura S. (A),
90+3', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
90+3', Owusu T. ↓, Benzzine A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Telstar will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Roda: Jansen K. (Knee Injury) Schmidt L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roda: Bucker K. (Knee Injury) Muller J. P. (Injury) Seedorf C. (Injury) Treichel J. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Telstar won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 2.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.03.25	Volendam - Telstar	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Telstar - Dordrecht	5:0 ✺
03.03.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Telstar - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
14.02.25	Den Bosch - Telstar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.03.25	Roda - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Roda - Jong PSV	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Excelsior - Roda	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Roda - Den Bosch	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Dordrecht - Roda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.11.24	Roda - Telstar	1:0
01.03.24	Telstar - Roda	1:1
15.09.23	Roda - Telstar	3:0
10.03.23	Roda - Telstar	1:2
14.10.22	Telstar - Roda	2:1
06.05.22	Roda - Telstar	4:3
20.08.21	Telstar - Roda	3:4

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