Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ternana		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.5
	1.72	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.49	5.2
	1.73	3.34	4.78	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.74	3.44	4.94	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	4.83 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
53.7%

Draw
27.4%

Forlì
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.1%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Ternana - Forlì Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 17. Kerrigan L. 23. Majer Z. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 9. Dubickas E.	22. Martelli L. (G) 36. Onofri M. 25. Elia M. 26. Palomba L. 27. Manetti G. 32. Scaccabarozzi J. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 10. Macri D. 11. Farinelli N. 17. Trombetta M.
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 27. Ferrante A. 16. Garetto M. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Pagliari M. 18. Panico G. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.	1. Calvani S. (G) 30. Coveri V. 6. Franzolini A. 18. Giovannini A. 20. Ilari C. 2. Mandrelli N. 8. Ripani D. 33. Rossi D. 4. Saporetti L. 9. Selvini A. 14. Spinelli A. 12. Veliaj G. (G) 45. Zagre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Menarini F. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Pettinari S. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Ndrecka A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Risio C. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Menarini F. ⚽,
59', Orellana M. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
60', Pettinari S. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
65', Macri D. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
69', Kerrigan L. 🟨,
74', Majer Z. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
79', Selvini A. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
80', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Ilari C. ↑,
81', Kerrigan L. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
82', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Ternana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Forlì has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ternana is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.26	Pineto - Ternana	0:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ternana - Ravenna	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ternana - Sassari Torres	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTLW
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Forlì - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vis Pesaro - Forlì	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gubbio - Forlì	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1

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