Match Info

Date: 17 May 2022, Tuesday


	Toluca		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.25	1.6
	3.5	3.57	1.83
	3	3.8	1.95
	3.35	4.2	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.43)	3.96 ↓ (4.31)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
26.4%

Draw
23.2%

Bayer Leverkusen
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

21%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

21.4%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toluca - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Toluca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toluca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
01.05.22	Club León - Toluca	4:4 ✺
24.04.22	Toluca - Atlas	2:4 ✺
19.04.22	Toluca - Juárez	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Tigres UANL - Toluca	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLLT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
14.05.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	2:4 ✺
02.05.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Greuther Fürth - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
17.04.22	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

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