Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.55	4.1	5.8	Watch
	1.56	4.08	5.61
	1.5	4.24	6.25
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.5	4.11	5.78	Watch
	1.49	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)	4.06 ↑ (3.59)	5.87 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
61.4%

Draw
22.8%

Comerciantes Unidos
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 14. Cabello C. 19. Ascues C. 6. Perea G. 32. Madrid J. 10. Velez J. 8. Ysique F. 33. Benitez E. 23. Da Silva P. 17. Mena Y. 9. Paolo Guerrero (C)	21. Campos D. (G) 26. Toledo J. 2. Gonzalez C. 22. Almiron M. 13. Caro D. 4. Noriega E. 25. Paucar E. 7. Lastre E. 10. Santamaria K. (C) 14. Palacio D. 11. Gonzales S.
Substitutes
13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 22. Flores F. 3. Ganoza M. 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 12. Rabines M. (G) 27. Ramirez A.	27. Barrios K. 16. Bosmediano J. 28. Garcia L. (G) 23. Magallanes P. 6. Paico K. 18. Pinto O. 17. Quispe J. 8. Salinas R. 9. Sen M.
Coaches
Salas G.	Silvestri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Velez J. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Paolo Guerrero (A),
24', 2 - 1, Palacio D. ⚽, Noriega E. (A),
40', Ascues C. ↓, Quinones Goicochea J. J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Caro D. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
53', Almiron M. 🟨,
57', Paucar E. ↓, Paico K. ↑,
57', 3 - 1, Velez J. ⚽, Madrid J. (A),
69', Gonzales S. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
69', Gonzalez C. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
70', Santamaria K. ↓, Magallanes P. ↑,
72', Benitez E. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
72', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
87', Da Silva P. ↓, Olaya S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6).

César Vallejo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Comerciantes Unidos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match César Vallejo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Independiente Medellín - Universidad César Vallejo	4:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
08.04.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
14.03.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
08.03.24	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.05.16	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad César Vallejo	3:1
06.02.16	Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1

Upcoming Matches