Match Info

Date: 14 July 2021, Wednesday


	Vélez Sársfield		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.2	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.3
	2.29	3.16	3.42
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.26	3.26	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)	3.3 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
42%

Draw
29.6%

Barcelona Guayaquil
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	14.5%	20%

Vélez Sársfield - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 36 - 65.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 11 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 52.9% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barcelona Guayaquil have a series of home games.

Vélez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Copa Libertadores
27.05.21	Flamengo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
19.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.07.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Super Cup
26.06.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Santos	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWW

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