The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 17.5%
Draw 26.3%
Braga 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
28.6%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
28.6%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Vitoria Guimarães - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Braga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Charles Silva (G) 66. Strata T. 3. Nobrega M. 26. Abascal R. 13. Mendes J. II. 23. Sousa D. 30. Nogueira G. 18. Arcanjo T. 16. Beni 48. Saviolo N. 7. Oliveira N. (C)
1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 6. Vitor Carvalho 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 27. Grillitsch F. 8. Moutinho J. 20. Dorgeles M. 10. Zalazar R. 18. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
19. Camara O. 25. Castillo J. (G) 11. Gustavo 17. Lebedenko O. 2. Maga 6. Mitrovic M. 90. Ndoye A. 20. Samu 28. Thiago Balieiro
41. da Rocha Y. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 29. Gorby 5. Lelo L. 77. Martinez G. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G)
Coaches
Pinto L.
Vicens C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Dorgeles M. ⚽,
35', Grillitsch F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Arcanjo T. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
54', Sousa D. ↓, Samu ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
60', Grillitsch F. ↓, Gorby ↑,
74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
74', Dorgeles M. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
77', Saviolo N. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
77', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
82', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Samu (A),
87', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
88', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
90+7', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
90+11', Zalazar R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+12', Oliveira N. 🟥,
90+14', Gomez V. 🟨,
90+15', Abascal R. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location - Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
In this match, Braga is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
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Charles Silva (G) 
Strata T. 
Nobrega M. 
Abascal R. 
Arcanjo T. 
Beni 
Saviolo N. 
Hornicek L. (G) 
Lagerbielke G. 
Arrey-Mbi B. 
Gomez V. 
Grillitsch F. 
Dorgeles M. 
Camara O. 
Castillo J. (G) 
Lebedenko O. 
Mitrovic M. 
Ndoye A. 
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