Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Waalwijk		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3.2
	2.08	3.7	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.94	3.4
	2.1	3.94	3.35
	2	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.3	Watch
	2	4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
46.1%

Draw
24.8%

Excelsior
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Excelsior aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	23.5%	35.3%

Waalwijk - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 4. Adewoye S. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 14. Lokesa C. 6. Oukili Y. 7. Cleonise D. 29. Kramer M. (C) 10. Stevanovic F.	1. van Gassel S. (C) 2. Horemans S. 5. Widell C. 16. Nieuwpoort S. 12. Zagre A. 8. Sandra C. 4. el Yaakoubi R. 33. Baas J. 7. Lamprou L. 9. Parrott T. 14. Driouech C.
Substitutes
11. Bakkali Z. 35. Felida K. 23. Gaari J. 21. Houwen J. (G) 5. Lutonda T. 22. Meir R. 9. Min D. 27. Niemeijer R. 13. Spenkelink M. (G) 8. Vroegh P. 30. Weidmann D.	19. Agrafiotis N. 18. Alblas N. (G) 15. Naujoks N. 17. Omorowa R. 28. Smeulers I. 11. Uddenas O.
Coaches
Fraser H.	Dijkhuizen M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Waalwijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Excelsior: Donkor J. (Knee Injury) Eyongo R. (Ankle Injury) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Pierie K. (Foot Injury) van Duinen M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Zwolle - Waalwijk	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Waalwijk - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Utrecht - Waalwijk	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Excelsior - Feyenoord	2:4 ✺
12.11.23	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	Den Bosch - Excelsior	1:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
29.10.23	Volendam - Excelsior	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.23	Excelsior - Waalwijk	0:0
04.09.22	Waalwijk - Excelsior	5:2
22.05.19	Excelsior - Waalwijk	1:1
19.05.19	Waalwijk - Excelsior	2:1
Club Friendly
02.08.17	Excelsior - Waalwijk	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.05.14	Waalwijk - Excelsior	2:2
15.05.14	Excelsior - Waalwijk	2:0

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