Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.26	6.5	10
	1.23	6.7	12.5
	1.22	7.4	13
	1.25	6.7	12.49	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.25	7.04	13.3	Watch
	1.2	7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)	6.73 ↑ (6.7)	12.29 ↑ (10.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
77.9%

Draw
14.3%

Burnley
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

14.3%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	6.9%	13.8%

Chelsea - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Burnley (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Burnley (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Chelsea (1.65) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Chelsea (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Burnley (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 24. James R. (C) 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 27. Gusto M. 25. Caicedo M. 17. Andrey Santos 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro	1. Dubravka M. (G) 29. Laurent J. 4. Worrall J. 5. Esteve M. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 28. Mejbri H. 12. Humphreys B. 10. Edwards M. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 9. Delap L. 49. Garnacho A. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 45. Lavia R. 19. Sarr M. 44. Slonina G. (G)	35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 16. Florentino 3. Hartman Q. 23. Lucas Pires 17. Tchaouna L. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Neto P. (A),
30', Mejbri H. 🟨,
34', Fofana W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Walker K. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
57', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
72', Fofana W. 🟨,
75', Palmer C. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
78', Laurent J. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
80', Gusto M. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
80', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
83', Humphreys B. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
84', Anthony J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
88', Neto P. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
89', James R. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
90', Sanchez R. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Ward-Prowse J. (A),
90+4', Laurent J. 🟨,
90+5', Hato J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.

Chelsea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Cucurella M. (Muscle Injury) Essugo D. (Injury) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Broja A. (Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Jorgensen F. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:15. (average 2.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Hull City - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
31.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLW
- Burnley FC
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burnley - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Sunderland - Burnley	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2
30.03.24	Chelsea - Burnley	2:2
07.10.23	Burnley - Chelsea	1:4
05.03.22	Burnley - Chelsea	0:4
06.11.21	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1
31.01.21	Chelsea - Burnley	2:0
31.10.20	Burnley - Chelsea	0:3

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