Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Derby County

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.75
	4.4	3.6	1.75
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.74	3.85	1.76
	4.74	3.85	1.77
	4.33	3.7	1.7
	4.45	3.74	1.76	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.77)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
20.8%

Draw
25.3%

Derby County
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25.9%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Wigan Athletic - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Derby will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 7. Clare S. 6. Hughes C. 4. Morrison L. 42. McHugh H. 26. Adeeko B. 21. Smith S. 5. Sessegnon S. 19. Lang C. (C) 11. Humphrys S. 22. Sze C.	1. Wildsmith J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 3. Forsyth C. 2. Wilson K. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 8. Bird M. 7. Barkhuizen T. 9. Collins J. 11. Mendez-Laing N.
Substitutes
10. Aasgaard T. 12. Amos B. (G) 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 16. Shaw L. 18. Smith J. 2. Watts K.	5. Bradley S. 20. Elder C. 22. Fornah T. 19. John-Jules T. 17. Sibley L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Warne P.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1.

Recent matches Wigan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Derby is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
23.12.23	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Port Vale - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.23	York City - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWW
- Derby County
English League One
21.12.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Leyton Orient - Derby County	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Derby County - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Port Vale - Derby County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.08.23	Derby County - Wigan Athletic	1:2
English League Championship
26.12.19	Wigan Athletic - Derby County	1:1
23.10.19	Derby County - Wigan Athletic	1:0
05.03.19	Derby County - Wigan Athletic	2:1
08.12.18	Wigan Athletic - Derby County	0:1
31.12.16	Derby County - Wigan Athletic	0:0
03.12.16	Wigan Athletic - Derby County	0:1

Upcoming Matches