Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Denis Shapovalov		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.76	2.03	Watch
	1.78	2.19
	1.73	2.16	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
53.8%

Alex Molcan
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Molcan will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 39. Molcan is ranked ATP: 166.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Munich
16.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- Alex Molcan
ATP Munich
16.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
16.02.22	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	2:0

Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide