Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ignacio Buse		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.53
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.33)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
36.5%

Matteo Berrettini
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 63. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 68.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide