Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Karen Khachanov		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.33	3.35
	1.32	3.37	Watch
	1.31	3.50
	1.33	3.47	Watch
	1.31	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	3.44 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
72.4%

Adrian Mannarino
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27., and Mannarino is ranked ATP: 83..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Khachanov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Khachanov is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Khachanov has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:4 (averaging 2.2:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.26%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.74%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Alex Molcan - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:3
ATP St Petersburg
27.10.21	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Moscow
21.10.18	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Australian Open
16.01.17	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	3:1
ATP Chengdu
28.09.16	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Challenger
13.11.15	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	1:2

Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide