Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Marcos Giron		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.43
	2.83	1.49
	2.70	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.77	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.63)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
34.5%

Brandon Nakashima
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Nakashima (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Giron (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Nakashima (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 50. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nakashima is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Giron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jerome Kym	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP San Diego
25.09.22	Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
Exhibition Matchplay 120 Men
17.06.20	Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
02.06.20	Brandon Nakashima - Marcos Giron	Canceled
ATP Challenger
06.03.20	Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima	1:2

Upcoming Matches