The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 58%
Draw 21.4%
Vaasan Sport 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
21.2%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
22.1%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
TPS - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
53. Harkonen M. (G)
6. Rafkin R. (A)
8. Viljanen V.
44. Lindbohm P.
55. Koivisto M. (C)
49. Wernblom L.
22. Walther I.
97. Haudum L.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
22. Bryggman L. (A)
17. Diaco G.
Line 2
38. Landen A.
7. Ervasti K.
40. Lehtonen S.
62. Akerstrom S.
25. Ikonen Jo.
86. Granath P.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
89. Palve O.
86. Yliniemi S.
71. Nieminen V.
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.
16. Johnsson T.
61. Binner A.
26. Burger E.
24. Virtanen J.
3. Bertrand C.
21. Maatta J.
9. Grainger L.
19. Savinainen V.
44. Harrison B.
Line 4
4. Chicoine G.
6. Kangas K.
7. Lauridsen O.
24. Levanen E.
9. Koivu A.
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
57. Munkki V.
12. Straka A.
10. Ylitalo N.
10. Pietila B.
Substitutes
32. Vali N. (G)
31. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.
. Mikkola L.
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.
TPS has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vaasa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vaasa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TPS has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Vaasa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to TPS for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:44 (averaging 2.5:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 21:14 goals (averaging 2.3:1.6 per game).
Finland
Sweden
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Makiniemi E. (G) 
Wernblom L. 
Haudum L. 
Diaco G. 
Granath P. 
Bertrand C. 
Lauridsen O. 
