Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 6
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Belgium	20:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Canada	14:00	Sportsnet+
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	02:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:00	Disney+
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 9
Cyprus	21:00	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
France	20:00	DAZN France
Germany	20:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	21:00	Nova Sports Start
India	23:30	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	01:00	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	21:00	Sport 1
Japan	03:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Mexico	12:00	Disney+
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:00	MaxTV GO
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	19:00	DAZN / App
Romania	21:00	Orange TV Go
Serbia	20:00	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	20:00	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	20:00	Sport TV3
South Africa	20:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
Turkey	21:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
United Arab Emirates	22:00	Dubai Sports 1
United Kingdom	19:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
International	18:00	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	NAC Breda		Ajax

	1	X	2
	3.4	4	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.55	3.7	1.98
	3.64	3.82	2.03
	3.48	3.84	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.95
	3.6	3.75	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	3.77 ↓ (3.79)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
27.1%

Draw
25.2%

Ajax
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.8%

24.9%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

NAC Breda - Ajax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bielica D. (G) 3. Odoi D. 20. Jensen F. 8. Leemans C. 4. Kemper B. (C) 16. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 7. Brym C. 10. Nassoh M. 11. Paula R. 9. Soumano M.	26. Paes M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 2. Rosa L. 10. Gloukh O. 6. Regeer Y. 24. Mokio J. 23. Berghuis S. (C) 25. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
24. Ayew A. 21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 22. Hillen R. 90. Holtby L. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 15. Mahmutovic E. 26. Reulen P. 19. Salama A. 32. Talvitie J. 25. Valerius C.	43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 7. Carrizo M. 9. Dolberg K. 17. Edvardsen O. 62. el Hani A. (G) 4. Itakura K. 19. Konadu D. 52. Reverson P. (G) 48. Steur S. 45. van de Pavert R. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Hoefkens C.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Paula R. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
56', Brym C. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
56', Soumano M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
56', Gloukh O. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
71', Balard M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
72', Berghuis S. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
72', Regeer Y. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
78', Itakura K. 🟨,
82', Leemans C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
82', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
85', Weghorst W. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.

Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ajax will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ajax: Jaros V. (Knee Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Red Card) Zinchenko O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Holtby L. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Ajax: Fitz-Jim K. (Inactive) Heerkens J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 7:43. (average 0.5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.6:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 11.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Zwolle - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
11.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Ajax	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Ajax - NAC Breda	2:1
06.04.25	Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1
18.08.24	NAC Breda - Ajax	2:1
17.02.19	Ajax - NAC Breda	5:0
24.11.18	NAC Breda - Ajax	0:3
04.02.18	Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1
18.11.17	NAC Breda - Ajax	0:8

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