Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Alianza Lima		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.57	4.33	5
	1.62	3.57	5.19	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.58	3.64	5.22	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.3)	3.83 ↑ (2.7)	5.03 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
57.7%

Draw
24%

Emelec
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	2.5%	5%

Alianza Lima - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 84.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Archimbaud J. P. 11. D'Arrigo J. 22. Enrique G. 6. Garces R. 14. Huaman M. 13. Lagos R. 4. Noriega E. 34. Paolo Guerrero 27. Quevedo K. 23. Viscarra 5. Zambrano C.	1. Napa G. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 7. Corozo W. 51. Gonzaga J. 8. Meli M. 88. Quinonez J. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 19. Ruiz 28. Solis M. 6. Tarira S. 36. Valencia C.
Substitutes
. Aguirre . Alarcon R. . Barcos H. . Campos A. (G) . Cantero A. . Castillo E. . Castillo J. . Ceppelini P. . Delgado J. . Lavandeira Hernandez P. . Navea . Succar M. . Trauco M. . Velasquez J.	3. Arroyo E. 17. Ayovi J. 15. Carrillo E. 30. Chamba T. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 25. Garces R. 21. Gonzalez A. 24. Jhon Sanchez 52. Kevin Mina 22. Mina J. 54. Perlaza 18. Porro 11. Sanchez J. J. 50. Tobar 39. Valverde J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lagos R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
03.11.24	Alianza Lima - Cusco	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.11.24	Libertad Loja - Emelec	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Emelec - Imbabura	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Emelec - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLL

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