Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Aston Villa		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9
	1.39	4.8	7.5
	1.4	5.2	9
	1.4	4.8	8
	1.4	5.02	8.72
	1.36	4.75	8.5
	1.42	5.15	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	4.89 ↑ (4.58)	8.37 ↑ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
68.9%

Draw
19.7%

Norwich City
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

22.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.6%	3%	25.4%

Aston Villa - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 48 - 71.6%). Norwich will win (votes: 17 - 25.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 60.8% – 82.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Aston Villa has the most likely position - 14 (16.86%), has project points - 45, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (74%), has project points - 25, has currently - 21, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 62, very small importance 1, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 3.

Aston Villa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Norwich is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
23.04.22	Leicester City - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4 ✺
02.04.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Norwich City
English Premier League
23.04.22	Norwich City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
16.04.22	Manchester United - Norwich City	3:2 ✺
10.04.22	Norwich City - Burnley	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Norwich City	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Leeds United - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.12.21	Norwich City - Aston Villa	0:2
26.12.19	Aston Villa - Norwich City	1:0
05.10.19	Norwich City - Aston Villa	1:5
English League Championship
05.05.19	Aston Villa - Norwich City	1:2
23.10.18	Norwich City - Aston Villa	2:1
07.04.18	Norwich City - Aston Villa	3:1
19.08.17	Aston Villa - Norwich City	4:2

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