Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 8h 14m 📅 Remind Me

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	20:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	21:00	MyTV
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	19:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Iraq	17:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 7
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	11:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Atalanta		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.20	3.80
	1.82	4.20	3.70
	1.79	4.00	3.80
	1.88	4.20	3.85
	1.83	4.16	3.83	Watch
	1.84	4.00	3.75
	1.86	4.17	4.23
	1.82	4.30	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.67)	4.15 ↓ (4.19)	3.84 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
52.2%

Draw
23%

Frosinone
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

22.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frosinone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Atalanta - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Frosinone will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 3.

In recent outings, Atalanta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Frosinone is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atalanta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Atalanta for this game.

Confirmed absences for Atalanta: Hien I. (Muscle Injury) Kolasinac S. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Frosinone: Grillitsch F. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atalanta: Kessie F. (Calf Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:2 (averaging 2.8:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atalanta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:0 goals (averaging 3.7:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	4	13
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	10:11	-1	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.74% Frosinone: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.97%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Ajax - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Milan - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Atalanta - Paphos	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
16.10.26	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.01.24	Atalanta - Frosinone	5:0
26.08.23	Frosinone - Atalanta	2:1
20.01.19	Frosinone - Atalanta	0:5
20.08.18	Atalanta - Frosinone	4:0
23.01.16	Frosinone - Atalanta	0:0
30.08.15	Atalanta - Frosinone	2:0

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