Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Manchester United		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	5
	1.73	3.75	4.6
	1.7	4.4	4.9
	1.65	4.3	4.7
	1.66	4.48	5
	1.63	4.2	5
	1.69	4.4	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)	4.27 ↑ (3.76)	4.95 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
57.9%

Draw
22.6%

Atalanta
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

16.8%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.3%	12.9%	17.8%

Manchester United - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 163 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 113 - 69.3%). Atalanta will win (votes: 29 - 17.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 62.2% – 76.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Man Utd has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (38%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (22%), has a good chance of round of 16 (66%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Atalanta has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (40%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (69%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Man Utd is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atalanta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Man Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Man Utd have a series of home games.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Manchester United - Everton	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Manchester United - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.09.21	Manchester United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.21	Manchester United - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTWLL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
17.10.21	Empoli - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
03.10.21	Atalanta - Milan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Atalanta - Young Boys	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.09.21	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
21.09.21	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW

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