Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Georgia	Silk Universal
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Dsports 1311
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter


	Atlético Mineiro		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	17	Watch
	1.18	7	14
	1.17	5.9	16.5	Watch
	1.2	6.51	14.32
	1.2	6.64	14.55	Watch
	1.18	6	15
	1.19	6.54	15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 (1.19)	6.41 ↓ (6.45)	15.2 ↓ (15.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
79.1%

Draw
14.7%

Cienciano
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atlético Mineiro - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cienciano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 6. Alonso J. 16. Lodi R. 8. Maycon 5. Alexsander 28. Cuello 27. Minda A. 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 29. Robles A. 39. Caparo H. 88. Barreto G. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 13. Lyanco 36. Pascini K. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 30. Victor Hugo 14. Vitor Hugo	26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 1. Falcon G. (G) 16. Martinich M. 37. Rojas A. 9. Romagnoli J. 30. Roncal J. (G) 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Nunez C. 🟨,
21', Maycon 🟨,
22', Bernard 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lodi R. ⚽, Cuello (A),
39', 2 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Cuello (A),
45+1', Amondarain M. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maycon ↓, Franco A. ↑,
46', Nunez C. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
46', Caparo H. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
59', Aguilar R. 🟨,
60', Cuello 🟨,
61', Cuello ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
61', Bernard ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
70', Hohberg A. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
70', Bandiera N. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
79', Alexsander ↓, Dudu ↑,
83', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Lyanco ↑,
88', Lyanco 🟨,

Preview

Atlético MG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cienciano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético MG is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Atletico-MG: 34.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Ceará - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTTW
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.26	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
29.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cienciano	1:1
01.04.25	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	0:0

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