The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Auxerre 53.6%
Draw 26.4%
Dijon 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
29.6%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
29.7%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auxerre's performance.
Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
12.2%
2%
Auxerre - Dijon Predictions
Users Predictions:
Auxerre will win
(42 of 49 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.91% – 95.51%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 11).
Auxerre has the most likely position - 3 (33.47%), has project points - 69, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of promoted (35%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Dijon has the most likely position - 12 (15.78%), has project points - 49, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of promoted.
This event has quality37, importance40, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.
Auxerre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Dijon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Auxerre is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
Watch
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