Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 1h 49m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Canada	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	13:15	Disney+
China	00:15	Migu
Colombia	11:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:15	Vidio
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
International	16:15	OneFootball TV


	Auxerre		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.40
	2.1	3.55	3.3
	2.17	3.7	3.45
	2.13	3.75	3.16	Watch
	2.14	3.6	3.4
	2.16	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)	3.65 ↑ (3.56)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
45.4%

Draw
26.2%

Le Mans
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Auxerre - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 69.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Auxerre (2.10) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 16th in the Ligue 1 Promotion - Playoffs).

Auxerre has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Le Mans has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Auxerre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Auxerre is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Fofana S. (Groin Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Hamstring Injury) Siwe T. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Le Mans: Bourabaa A. (Ankle Injury) Colas E. (Injury) Larouci Y. (Groin Injury) Voyer H. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auxerre against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Le Mans: 0.16% Auxerre: 0.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Rennes - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Auxerre - Clermont	4:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Auxerre - Brest	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 1
16.10.26	Le Mans - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Guingamp - Le Mans	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.20	Auxerre - Le Mans	3:2
French Ligue 2
10.01.20	Le Mans - Auxerre	0:1
02.08.19	Auxerre - Le Mans	2:0
25.01.13	Auxerre - Le Mans	1:1
20.08.12	Le Mans - Auxerre	3:1

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