The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 18.1%
Draw 22.4%
Fiorentina 59.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.4%
25.4%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
24.7%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.7%
8.1%
82.3%
Basel - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% โ 91.77%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (46%), a small chance of win league (9%).
Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (54%), a chance of win league (30%).
This event has quality52, very big importance100, big match rating76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Basel have a series of guest games.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Basel: Comas A.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cabral A.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Basel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
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