Match Info

DFB Pokal - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 5
China	02:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Disney+
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN
Finland	21:45	Disney+, Veikkaus TV
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Germany	20:45	DFB Play, Servus TV, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW, ZDF
Greece	21:45	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	02:45	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Selekt, Sport 1
India	00:15	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:45	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Qazsport
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Sports, Sooka
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
Nigeria	19:45	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	Disney+, VG+
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	21:45	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	20:45	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	20:45	Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	20:45	Disney+
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Arab Emirates	22:45	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Abu Dhabi Sports 2
United Kingdom	19:45	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	ESPN App, ESPN+, ESPNU
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	18:45	Onefootball


	Bayer Leverkusen		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	5	4.75	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.95	1.55	Watch
	5.51	4.95	1.57
	5.13	5.06	1.57	Watch
	4.8	4.5	1.5
	5.34	4.82	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.38)	4.84 ↑ (4.54)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
18.7%

Draw
19.8%

Bayern Munich
61.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

21%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 14. Schick P.	1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 10. Musiala J. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
5. Bade L. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 15. Oermann T. 19. Poku E. 10. Tillman M.	19. Davies A. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 39. Ndiaye B. 34. Ofli D. 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
38', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
39', Lucas ↓, Poku E. ↑,
43', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
74', Laimer K. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
76', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
77', Tella N. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
84', Musiala J. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
84', Andrich R. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0.

Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Bischof T. (Calf Injury) Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Karl L. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Bayern Munich: 35.78% Bayer Leverkusen: 8.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.04.26	Bayern Munich - Real Madrid	4:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	St. Pauli - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.04.26	Real Madrid - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0
UEFA Champions League
11.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:2
05.03.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:0
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1

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